{"id":85444,"date":"2025-10-10T18:04:36","date_gmt":"2025-10-10T16:04:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/?p=85444"},"modified":"2025-10-10T18:07:44","modified_gmt":"2025-10-10T16:07:44","slug":"promene-energetske-politike-u-sad-ce-samo-marginalno-uticati-na-globalnu-energetsku-tranziciju","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/promene-energetske-politike-u-sad-ce-samo-marginalno-uticati-na-globalnu-energetsku-tranziciju\/","title":{"rendered":"Promene energetske politike u SAD \u0107e samo marginalno uticati na globalnu energetsku tranziciju"},"content":{"rendered":"

Promene u energetskoj politici u Sjedinjenim Ameri\u010dkim Dr\u017eavama koje je uvela administracija predsednika Donalda Trampa imac\u0301e samo marginalan uticaj na globalnu energetsku tranziciju, zaklju\u010dak je najnovijeg izve\u0161taja Energy Transition Outlook, koji je izradio DNV.<\/h2>\n

Norve\u0161ka konsultantska firma DNV je u tradicionalnom izve\u0161taju Energy Transition Outlook, 9. po redu,\u00a0istakla da najave o potro\u0161nji energije za potrebe ve\u0161ta\u010dke inteligencije deluje alarmantno, ali da prognoze govore da c\u0301e ostati ispod potro\u0161nje u sektorima punjenja elektri\u010dnih vozila (EV) i hla\u0111enja zgrada.<\/p>\n

„Godi\u0161nji Izve\u0161taj o energetskoj tranziciji DNV-a dosledno predvi\u0111a prelazak sa dana\u0161njeg odnosa fosilnih\/nefosilnih goriva od 80\/20 odsto na odnos 50\/50 do 2050. godine. To je i dalje na\u0161a prognoza ove godine. Iako su neki aspekti tranzicije ubrzani i brzo napreduju, drugi su pogo\u0111eni turbulencijama i odlo\u017eeni su. Sve to dovodi do neznatno sporije tranzicije nego \u0161to je na\u0161a prognoza bila pro\u0161le godine“ rekao je izvr\u0161ni direktor DNV-a Remi Eriksen.<\/p>\n

\"svet<\/p>\n

Kina nastavlja da postavlja rekorde u izgradnji obnovljivih izvora energije sa 390 GW solarnih elektrana (56 odsto udela u novim globalnim kapacitetima) i 86 GW vetroelektrana (60 odsto udela) koji se o\u010dekuje da c\u0301e biti instalirani ove godine.<\/p>\n

Kina tako\u0111e podsti\u010de tranziciju u ostatku sveta svojim izvozom \u010diste tehnologije.<\/p>\n

U me\u0111uvremenu, Evropa nastoji da uravnote\u017ei svoju klimatsku akciju sa svojom konkurentno\u0161c\u0301u, navodi se u izve\u0161taju.<\/p>\n

Kontinent ima sporiji uspeh sa sektorima koje je te\u017ee dekarbonizovati, ali izgradnja elektrana na obnovljive izvore energije ostaje relativno sna\u017ena.<\/p>\n

U ostatku sveta, vec\u0301ina zemalja prihvata konkurentne kineske tehnologije, sa me\u0111ugodi\u0161njim rastom instalacija od oko 25 odsto, pokazuju podaci.<\/p>\n

\"svet<\/p>\n

Eriksen je rekao da je jeftina obnovljiva energija, u kombinaciji sa skladi\u0161tenjem energije u sve jeftinijim baterijama, nezaustavljiva sila.<\/p>\n

„Predvi\u0111amo da c\u0301e solarna energija \u2013 i sa i bez skladi\u0161tenja \u2013 i vetar \u010diniti 32 odsto globalnog energetskog miksa do 2030. godine. O\u010dekujemo ponovni porast vetroelektrana na moru do 2030. godine, tako da c\u0301e varijabilni obnovljivi izvori energije obezbediti vi\u0161e od 50 odsto potrebne elektri\u010dne energije do 2040. godine“ izjavio je on.<\/p>\n

Solarna energija \u010dini deset odsto selektri\u010dne energije proizvedene \u0161irom sveta danas, a DNV predvi\u0111a da c\u0301e to biti 20 odsto 2029. i 40 odsto 2045. godine.<\/p>\n

Svi obnovljivi izvori energije c\u0301e dostic\u0301i 65 odsto u globalnom miksu elektri\u010dne energije do 2040. godine.<\/p>\n

Potro\u0161nja energije ve\u0161ta\u010dke inteligencije smanji\u0107e se usled efekata efikasnosti<\/h3>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Eriksen je naveo da rastuc\u0301a potra\u017enja za energijom iz data centara ve\u0161ta\u010dke inteligencije dodatno opterec\u0301uje vec\u0301 preopterec\u0301ene mre\u017ee, posebno u Severnoj Americi.<\/p>\n

Analiza DNV-a pokazuje da c\u0301e rast potra\u017enje za energijom ve\u0161ta\u010dke inteligencije verovatno postati linearniji tokom vremena. I, nadma\u0161i\u0107e ga, na primer, potra\u017enja za punjenjem elektri\u010dnih vozila i hla\u0111enjem, bez obzira sto ce se usluge ve\u0161ta\u010dke inteligencije pove\u0107avati.<\/p>\n

Glavni razlog je rastuc\u0301a efikasnost u AI sektor u, navodi DNV.<\/p>\n

Tako \u0107e potro\u0161nja energije ve\u0161ta\u010dke inteligencije do 2040. godine biti samo tri odsto globalne potro\u0161nje elektri\u010dne energije. Potro\u0161nja energije u data centrima c\u0301e se upetostru\u010diti do 2040. godine, \u0161to c\u0301e izjedna\u010diti pet odsto ukupne globalne potro\u0161nje. Ali, udeo ve\u0161ta\u010dke inteligencije bi bio tri odsto, a preostalih dva odsto su data centri op\u0161te namene.<\/p>\n

Izve\u0161taj navodi velike regionalne varijacije \u2013 ve\u0161ta\u010dka inteligencija je najvec\u0301i pokreta\u010d rasta potro\u0161nje elektri\u010dne energije u Severnoj Americi, u pore\u0111enju sa punjenjem elektri\u010dnih vozila u Evropi i elektri\u010dnim vozilima i hla\u0111enjem u Kini i Indiji.<\/p>\n

Po prvi put, ovogodi\u0161nja analiza se prote\u017ee na 2060.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

U izve\u0161taju se navodi da je svet ove godine dostigao prekretnicu od vi\u0161e od 50 miliona elektri\u010dnih vozila na putevima. Vec\u0301ina njih – 60 odsto, nalazi se u Kini, dok je u Evropi 21 odsto, a u Severnoj Americi 13 odsto.<\/p>\n

Ta\u010dka preokreta \u2013 kada \u0107e elektri\u010dna vozila pre\u0107i 50 odsto globalne prodaje novih putni\u010dkih vozila \u2013 bic\u0301e dostignuta 2032. godine, predvi\u0111a se u izve\u0161taju.<\/p>\n

Po prvi put, ovogodi\u0161nja analiza se prote\u017ee na 2060. godinu kako bi odrazila kontinuiranu transformaciju energetskog sistema nakon 2050. godine. U izve\u0161taju se podsec\u0301a da je sada sasvim jasno da svet nec\u0301e dosti\u0107i nulte neto emisije do 2050. godine, \u0161to zna\u010di da \u0107e zagrevanje pre\u0107i 1,5 stepeni Celzijusa.<\/p>\n

Dekarbonizacija energetskog miksa je nezaustavljiva, ali prespora, \u0161to stvara ozbiljne rizike za buduc\u0301e generacije, zaklju\u010dio je Eriksen.<\/p>\n

\"svet<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Izve\u0161taj o energetskoj tranziciji DNV-a predvi\u0111a prelazak sa dana\u0161njeg odnosa fosilnih\/nefosilnih goriva od 80\/20 odsto na 50\/50 do 2050.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":85445,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[504,5909,1],"tags":[6896,807,7216,3279,707,1854,860,652,5986,3301,647,1342,3571,898,1890,6897,2341,6510,4891],"class_list":["post-85444","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-elektricna-energija","category-klimatske-promene","category-obnovljivi-izvori-energije","tag-ai","tag-baterije","tag-data-centri","tag-dekarbonizacija","tag-elektricna-vozila","tag-energetska-tranzicija","tag-hladenje","tag-investicije","tag-kina","tag-klimatska-akcija","tag-obnovljivi-izvori-energije","tag-potrosnja-energije","tag-skladistenje-energije","tag-solarna-energija","tag-solarne-elektrane","tag-vestacka-inteligencija","tag-vetroelektrane","tag-vetroelektrane-na-moru","tag-vetroparkovi","country-svet"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPromene 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