{"id":83294,"date":"2025-08-14T17:51:56","date_gmt":"2025-08-14T15:51:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/?p=83294"},"modified":"2025-08-15T15:14:02","modified_gmt":"2025-08-15T13:14:02","slug":"negativne-cene-struje-i-baterije-nude-trgovcima-vecu-zaradu-nego-nafta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/negativne-cene-struje-i-baterije-nude-trgovcima-vecu-zaradu-nego-nafta\/","title":{"rendered":"Negativne cene struje i baterije nude trgovcima ve\u0107u zaradu nego nafta"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ne de\u0161ava se da cene nafte budu minus 50 dolara po barelu, pa onda plus 3.000 dolara nekoliko puta nedeljno, ali se to de\u0161ava sa cenama elektri\u010dne energije. Slikovit opis za\u0161to neki od najve\u0107ih trgovaca robom, izme\u0111u ostalog i naftom i gasom, poput kompanija Vitol, Trafigura, ulaze u posao skladi\u0161tenja energije u baterijskim sistemima u Evropi.<\/h2>\n

Sve je krenulo od negativnih cena<\/a>, rastu\u0107eg fenomena na evropskom tr\u017ei\u0161tu elektri\u010dne energije, preneo je portal The Star<\/a>, pisanje agencije Bloomberg.<\/p>\n

Pre tri godine, analiti\u010dari kompanije Castleton Commodities International (CCI) okupili su se u svojoj londonskoj kancelariji kako bi razgovarali o tome kako zaraditi novac na ovom fenomenu.<\/p>\n

Poreme\u0107ena tr\u017ei\u0161ta i velike fluktuacije cena su okru\u017eenje u kojem trgovci poput CCI-ja profitiraju.<\/p>\n

Pomenuti fenomen je posledica sve ve\u0107a proizvodnje u elektranama na vetar i solar i to u periodima dana kada potro\u0161nja ne mo\u017ee da preuzme svu tu struju, pa cene padaju. A, kada Sunce prestane da sija ili vetar prestane na duva, cene ska\u010du jer proizvodnja ne mo\u017ee da zadovolji tra\u017enju.<\/p>\n

Brz i skalabilan na\u010din da se iskoriste slu\u010dajevi ekstremne volatilnosti<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Problem je u tome \u0161to je skladi\u0161tenje elektri\u010dne energije kada nije potrebna i prodaja kada su cene vi\u0161e mnogo te\u017ee nego za druge robe poput bakra ili nafte.<\/p>\n

CCI je prona\u0161ao re\u0161enje i odlu\u010dio je da se upusti u posao sa baterijama. To je uradio me\u0111u prvima, i jedna od sve vec\u0301eg broja firmi, uklju\u010dujuc\u0301i gigante poput kompanija Vitol Group i Trafigura Group, koje ula\u017eu u velike baterijske sisteme za skladi\u0161tenje energije (eng. BESS).<\/p>\n

Nakon \u0161to su se obogatili prevozec\u0301i naftu, gas i metale \u0161irom sveta, trgovci usmeravaju pa\u017enju na moguc\u0301nosti kupovine, skladi\u0161tenja i prodaje energije nazad u mre\u017ee \u2013 posebno u Evropi, gde se o\u010dekuje da c\u0301e kapacitet porasti sedam puta do 2030.<\/p>\n

To je ultimativni, brz i skalabilan na\u010din da se iskoriste ti slu\u010dajevi ekstremne volatilnosti i da se re\u0161i ta nestabilnost, rekao je Ari Pilo, \u0161ef glavnih investicija u CCI. On dodaje da drasti\u010dni rasponi u cenama ne mogu da se vide kod nafte, ali mogu kod struje.<\/p>\n

Stalni rast sati sa negativnim cenama, ali i kapaciteta baterija<\/h3>\n

Broj sati sa negativnim cenama na berzama elektri\u010dne energije se svake godine pove\u0107ava u Evropi, a sve su \u010de\u0161\u0107e i u regionu<\/a>. Glavni razlog je rast proizvodnje iz obnovljivih izvora, pa je u junu solarna energija prvi put postala najvec\u0301i izvor elektri\u010dne energije u EU<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Instalisani kapaciteti za skladi\u0161tenje energije su u 2024. zabele\u017eili rekordni rast, pokazao je nedavni izve\u0161taj<\/a>. Prednja\u010de Kina i Nema\u010dka<\/a>, a ekspanzija je podstaknuta i smanjenjem tro\u0161kova za instaliranje baterija.<\/p>\n

Ipak i to je nedeovoljno, pa SolarPower smatra<\/a> da bi Evropska Unija trebalo da udesetostru\u010di svoje kapacitete za baterijsko skladi\u0161tenje energije do 2030. da bi podr\u017eala rast solara i drugih obnovljivih izvora.<\/p>\n

Regionu su potrebni \u201cgazilioni\u201d velikih baterija kako bi se re\u0161io problem negativnih cena, rekao je glavni izvr\u0161ni direktor Vitola Rasel Hardi.<\/p>\n

Akvizicije na sve strane<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

CCI je kupio vec\u0301inski udeo u kompanijama za razvoj skladi\u0161tenja energije S4 Energy BV i Lower 48 Energy BESS Ltd i planira da investira od 600 miliona do milijardu ameri\u010dkih dolara do kraja 2027. godine u deo kapaciteta snage 10 GW.<\/p>\n

Trik je u tome \u0161to mora da se ima mnogo ove imovine na mnogo razli\u010ditih lokacija da bi to moglo da se uradi u velikim razmerama, poru\u010duje Pilo.<\/p>\n

VPI Holding Ltd, koji je delimi\u010dno u vlasni\u0161tvu Vitola i ima lokacije za baterije u Irskoj, planira da investira 450 miliona evra u razvoj portfolija od 500 MW u Nema\u010dkoj putem zajedni\u010dkog ulaganja u narednim godinama.<\/p>\n

Giganti ulaze u sektor<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Vitolova podru\u017enica VC Renewables vec\u0301 ima kapacitete u SAD, sa jo\u0161 kapaciteta u izgradnji, i jo\u0161 2 GWh u svom kratkoro\u010dnom planu.<\/p>\n

U me\u0111uvremenu, Nala Renewables, koju podr\u017eava Trafigura, ima investicije u baterije u Belgiji i Finskoj i planira da do kraja godine ima portfolio od oko 1 GW, izjavio je glavni izvr\u0161ni direktor Majk O’Nil.<\/p>\n

Tu su i ostali. Danski trgovci Norlys Energy Trading i Danske Commodities A\/S, deo kompanije Equinor ASA, obavljaju trgovinu za firme koje imaju baterije, ali se ne bave trgovinom.<\/p>\n

Investicije u baterije su nova poslovna oblast, a jedna od usluga koja njen razvoj ubrzava je osiguranje. Tako kompanija Renewable Energy Insurance Broker (REIB)<\/a>, sa osiguranih vi\u0161e od 4 GWh sistema za skladi\u0161tenje energije na \u010detiri kontinenta, nudi re\u0161enja prilago\u0111ena potrebama projekata velikog kapaciteta. Imaju i specijalizovane proizvode koji pokrivaju prekide poslovanja, sajber pretnje i tehni\u010dke kvarove<\/a>, a sve u cilju predupre\u0111ivanja rizika i obezbe\u0111ivanja da projekti budu prihvatljivi bankama.<\/p>\n

Razlog nisu samo negativne cene<\/h3>\n

Biznis sa baterijama se mo\u017ee uporediti sa posedovanjem rezervoara za naftu u Ku\u0161ingu ili Permu, trgovci uvek moraju da imaju takvu imovinu u centru de\u0161avanja, objasio je Loran Segalen, investitor u sektor baterija i osniva\u010d konsultantske firme Megawatt-X.<\/p>\n

Cene energije ispod nule nisu jedini razlog za ulaganje u baterije. Trgovci mogu profitirati jednostavnom prodajom uskladi\u0161tene energije po ceni vec\u0301oj nego \u0161to su je platili. Tako\u0111e mogu zaraditi na tr\u017ei\u0161tu pomoc\u0301nih usluga.<\/p>\n

Baterije tako\u0111e privla\u010de razne druge investitore. Me\u0111u njima su specijalizovani investitori poput KKR & Co, koji su investirali u firmu Zenobe Energy Ltd, tradicionalne energetske firme, poput kompanija SSE Plc i francuskog naftnog giganta TotalEnergies, kao i investicioni fondovi Gresham House Energy Storage Fund Plc.<\/p>\n

Dve prepreke za investicije u baterije<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Unapre\u0111enje tehnologije tako\u0111e zna\u010di da baterije mogu da skladi\u0161te vi\u0161e energije, a operatori mogu bolje da procene kada da puste energiju u mre\u017eu kako bi maksimizirali profit.<\/p>\n

Analiti\u010dar BloombergNEF-a Nelson Nsitem ka\u017ee da postoji sve vi\u0161e odr\u017eivih razloga za ulaganje u projekte skladi\u0161tenja energije u baterijama u Evropi. To je posledica velikih kapaciteta obnovljivih izvora energije, velikih razlikama u oscilacijama cena tokom dana i padom cena baterija, dodao je on.<\/p>\n

Neke od najvec\u0301ih prepreka za ulazak na tr\u017ei\u0161te velikih baterija uklju\u010duju dobijanje pristupa lokacijama za izgradnju i, \u0161to je klju\u010dno, priklju\u010dak na mre\u017eu.<\/p>\n

Cena nove baterije je pala za oko 50 odsto u poslednje dve godine i to je bio veoma, veoma pozitivan razvoj doga\u0111aja za ljude koji su rano investirali, naglasio je Pilo.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sve je krenulo od negativnih cena, rastu\u0107eg fenomena na evropskom tr\u017ei\u0161tu elektri\u010dne energije, ali i pada cena 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