{"id":81039,"date":"2025-06-03T13:55:38","date_gmt":"2025-06-03T11:55:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/?p=81039"},"modified":"2025-06-03T14:22:17","modified_gmt":"2025-06-03T12:22:17","slug":"cbam-bi-mogao-da-kosta-privredu-bih-32-milijarde-km-premijer-niksic-kaze-da-ima-naznaka-o-odlaganju-primene","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/cbam-bi-mogao-da-kosta-privredu-bih-32-milijarde-km-premijer-niksic-kaze-da-ima-naznaka-o-odlaganju-primene\/","title":{"rendered":"CBAM bi mogao da ko\u0161ta privredu BiH 3,2 milijarde KM, premijer Nik\u0161i\u0107 ka\u017ee da ima naznaka o odlaganju primene"},"content":{"rendered":"

Primena prekograni\u010dne takse na ugljen-dioksid Evropske unije i sistema za trgovinu emisija mogli bi ekonomiji Bosni i Hercegovini da donese gubitak od 722 miliona do 3,17 milijardi konvertibilnih maraka, pokazala je analiza pripremljena na zahtev Ministarstva vanjske trgovine i ekonomskih odnosa BiH, uz podr\u0161ku Delegacije Evropske unije u BiH i tehni\u010dku asistenciju kroz projekat EU4Energy. U isto vreme iz Vlade Federacije BiH, jednog od dva enetiteta u BiH, sti\u017eu izjave da bi primena prekograni\u010dne takse mogla da bude odlo\u017eena.<\/h2>\n

Mehanizam za prekograni\u010dno prilago\u0111avanja ugljenika<\/a> (eng. CBAM) Evropske unije trebalo bi da po\u010dne da se primenjuje od 1. januara 2026. godine<\/a>. Posledica CBAM-a je naplata takse na uvoz cementa, gvo\u017e\u0111a, \u010delika, aluminijuma, \u0111ubriva, vodonika i elektri\u010dne energije u EU iz zemalja koje nemaju oporezivanje emisija CO2.<\/p>\n

Ukoliko od idu\u0107e godine po\u010dne primena CBAM-a i sistema trgovanja emisijama (eng. emission trading system- ETS) ekonomija BiH bi, u periodu od 2026. do 2030. godine, mogla da pretrpi finansijski gubitak koji se kre\u0107e od 722 miliona (361 milion evra) do 3,17 milijardi (1,58 milijardi evra) konvertibilnih maraka (KM), prenosi portal Akta<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Iznos, kako se dodaje, zavisi\u0107e od modela koji bude uveden, a razmatrane su \u010detiri opcije. Procena je ura\u0111ena na osnovu cena CO2 u rasponu od 118,53 do 147,22 evra po toni.<\/p>\n

Analizirana su \u010detiri modela za primenu CBAM-a i ETS-a<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Sektor elektri\u010dne energije, koji predstavlja jednu od najva\u017enijih privrednih grana u BiH, imao bi najve\u0107e tro\u0161kove, i to u svakom od \u010detiri analizirana modela.<\/p>\n

Autori analize smatraju da je mogu\u0107e prelivanje tih tro\u0161kova na cenu struje, \u0161to bi dodatno ugrozilo doma\u0107instva i druge delove privrede. To bi, kako se navodi, mogao biti ozbiljan izazov za ekonomsku stabilnost zemlje u narednim godinama.<\/p>\n

Prvo scenario predvi\u0111a da je BiH obavezna da pla\u0107a CBAM, a da ETS nije uveden. Gubici bi u tom slu\u010daju bili 1,2 milijarde KM, a najvi\u0161e bi izgubili proizvo\u0111a\u010di struje – 737 miliona KM. Proizvo\u0111a\u010di \u010delika i gvo\u017e\u0111a bi izgubili 454 miliona KM, a cementna industrija 58 miliona KM.<\/p>\n

Najnepovoljniji je scenario istovremene primenene i CBAM-a i ETS-a<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Drugi scenario se zasniva na postepenom uvo\u0111enju CBAM-a kroz sistem besplatne raspodele, ali i dalje bez ETS-a. Tro\u0161ak je procenjen na 722 miliona KM, do \u010dega u sektoru struje 580 miliona KM gubitaka, dok bi industrija \u010delika i gvo\u017e\u0111aizgubila oko 100 miliona KM.<\/p>\n

Najnepovoljniji je tre\u0107i scenario u kojem bi se istovremeno primenjivali ETS i CBAM, sa ukupnim tro\u0161kovima od 3,17 milijardu KM. Sektor elektri\u010dne energije izgubio bi 2,1 milijardu, a industrija gvo\u017e\u0111a i \u010delika 504 miliona KM.<\/p>\n

\u010cetvrta opcija je besplatna raspodela u okviru ETS-a, i CBAM samo za sektor proizvodnje \u0111ubriva, koji ina\u010de ne potpada pod ETS. Ekonomija BiH bi u tom slu\u010daju izgubila 2,3 milijarde KM, od \u010dega proizvo\u0111a\u010di struje dve milijarde KM, a industrija gvo\u017e\u0111a i \u010delika 117 miliona KM.<\/p>\n

Nik\u0161i\u0107: Moramo da budemo spremni<\/h3>\n

Ina\u010de, po\u010detkom godine pojavile su se informacije da \u0107e Evropska komisija predlo\u017eiti odlaganje primene CBAM-a na godinu dana<\/a>. Me\u0111utim, ispostavilo se da \u0107e biti odlo\u017eeno samo izve\u0161tavanje i pla\u0107anje naknada po osnovu CBAM-a<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Premijer Federacije BiH Nermin Nik\u0161i\u0107 izjavio je u Neumu da postoje naznake da bi se mogao prolongirati rok za uvo\u0111enje CBAM-a.<\/p>\n

Ali, kako je dodao, u to Federacija BiH ne mo\u017ee da se pouzda, ve\u0107 mora da stvori uslove da bude dovoljno energije iz obnovljivih izvora. na taj na\u010din \u0107e biti osigurano da privreda ne pla\u0107a takse prilikom izvoza svojih proizvoda u EU, naveo je Nik\u0161i\u0107.<\/p>\n

On nije pojasnio o kakvim je naznakama re\u010d.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ceh je rezultat analize ura\u0111ene na zahtev Ministarstva vanjske trgovine i ekonomskih odnosa BiH, uz podr\u0161ku Delegacije EU i projekta EU4Energy<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":81049,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[504],"tags":[6153,509,5908,6226,6893,3804],"class_list":["post-81039","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-elektricna-energija","tag-cbam","tag-co2","tag-prekogranicna-taksa-na-co2","tag-sistem-trgovine-emisijama","tag-sistem-za-trgovanje-emisijama","tag-vlada-federacije-bih","country-bosna-i-hercegovina"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nCBAM bi mogao da ko\u0161ta privredu BiH 3,2 milijarde, premijer Nik\u0161i\u0107 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