{"id":77319,"date":"2025-02-05T14:13:16","date_gmt":"2025-02-05T13:13:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/?p=77319"},"modified":"2025-07-18T15:09:09","modified_gmt":"2025-07-18T13:09:09","slug":"goldman-sachs-data-centri-trosice-160-odsto-vise-energije-do-2030-snabdevanje-stize-iz-tri-izvora","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/goldman-sachs-data-centri-trosice-160-odsto-vise-energije-do-2030-snabdevanje-stize-iz-tri-izvora\/","title":{"rendered":"Goldman Sachs: Data centri tro\u0161i\u0107e 160 odsto vi\u0161e energije do 2030, snabdevanje sti\u017ee iz tri izvora"},"content":{"rendered":"

Pove\u0107anu potrebu za elektri\u010dnom energijom izazvanu ve\u0161ta\u010dkom inteligencijom<\/a> mogu da zadovolje samo zajedno nuklearna energija, prirodni gas, kao i obnovljivi izvori energije u paketu sa baterijama, pokazala je analiza koju je pripremio Goldman Sachs Research.<\/h2>\n

U Sjedinjenim Ameri\u010dkim Dr\u017eavama je najjeftinije snabdevanje iz nuklearki, a najskuplje iz prirodnog gasa. Ipak, zbog komplikovane i duge izgradnje nuklearnih elektrana, kratkoro\u010dno gledano prirodni gas i obnovljiva energija predstavljaju bolje re\u0161enje, smatraju analiti\u010dari firme Goldman Sachs Research, zadu\u017eene za istra\u017eivanja i analize u okviru multinacionalne bankarske i finansijske grupacije Goldman Sachs, sa sedi\u0161tem u SAD.<\/p>\n

Firma je analizirala ulogu razli\u010ditih izvora elektri\u010dne energije za zadovoljavanje o\u010dekivanog rasta potro\u0161nje struje informati\u010dkim centrima (eng. data centers) do 2030. godine.<\/p>\n

Vetar i solar mogli bi da obezbede otprilike 80 odsto potra\u017enje ako su uvezani sa skladi\u0161tenjem energije<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Potra\u017enja za elektri\u010dnom energijom iz data centara je na putu da poraste vi\u0161e od 160 odsto do 2030. u pore\u0111enju sa 2023, naveo je Goldman Sachs Research. Ali, i oni nagla\u0161avaju da je mogu\u0107e da se te prognoze ne ispune zbog pove\u0107anja efikasnosti centara. Oni navode da je u periodu 2015-2019. njihova aktivnost utrostru\u010dena, ali potro\u0161nja je ostala ista zbog pobolj\u0161anja energetske efikasnosti.<\/p>\n

\"vestacka<\/p>\n

Iako obnovljivi izvori energije imaju potencijal da zadovolje vec\u0301inu povec\u0301anih potreba, oni ne proizvode energiju dovoljno dosledno da bi bili jedini izvor za informati\u010dke centre, obja\u0161njava jedan od autora analize D\u017eim \u0160najder (eng. Jim Schneider), analiti\u010dar digitalne infrastrukture u firmi Goldman Sachs Research.<\/p>\n

Razgovori sa investitorima pokazali su da bi vetar i solar mogli da obezbede otprilike 80 odsto potra\u017enje ako su uvezani sa skladi\u0161tenjem energije, ali je potrebna neka vrsta bazne proizvodnje bazne energije da bi se zadovoljila potra\u017enja tokom 24 sata.<\/p>\n

Manje od 10 odsto nuklearki potrebnih da pokriju rast bi\u0107e na mre\u017ei do 2030.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

\u0160najder navodi da su nuklearne<\/a> re\u0161enje za baznu energiju, ali problem je komplikovana i duga gradnja, koja uklju\u010duje nedostatak specijalizovane radne snage, dobijanja dozvola, kao i nabavka dovoljno uranijuma kao goriva.<\/p>\n

Procene govore da \u0107e biti potrebno 85-90 GW novih nuklearki na globalnom nivou da se zadovovolji taj rast, ali \u0107e manje od 10 odsto tih kapaciteta biti dostupno do 2030.<\/p>\n

U toj situaciji prirodni gas i obnovljivi izvori su realnija kratkoro\u010dna re\u0161enja, isti\u010du autori<\/p>\n

Najverovatnije je da \u0107e se operatori informati\u010dkih centara odlu\u010diti za kori\u0161\u0107enje vi\u0161e vrsta energije, smatra Brajan Singer (eng. Brian Singer), tako\u0111e autor analize i jedan od\u00a0 \u0161efova u firmi Goldman Sachs Research. Drugim re\u010dima, njihov pristup ne\u0107e biti isklju\u010divo jedan izvor energije,v e\u0107 vi\u0161e njih.<\/p>\n

Nuklearke, gasne elektrane, obnovljva energija<\/h3>\n

\"vestacka<\/p>\n

Renesansa nuklearne energije u mnogim zemljama od strane samih vlada, ali i velikih tehnolo\u0161kih kompanija, sugeri\u0161e zna\u010dajno povec\u0301anje investicija u narednih pet godina.<\/p>\n

Samo u SAD takve firme, kao \u0161to su Google, Amazon, Microsoft, potpisale su nove ugovore za vi\u0161e od 10 GW novih nuklearnih kapaciteta u pro\u0161loj godini, ali Goldman Sachs Research o\u010dekuje da samo tri elektrane budu pu\u0161tene u rad do 2030.<\/p>\n

Tehnolo\u0161ki giganti su zainteresovani i za obnovljivu energiju. Analiti\u010dari ameri\u010dke banke procenjuju da \u0107e 40 odsto novih kapaciteta za podr\u0161ku rastu tra\u017enje IT sektora koristiti obnovljive izvore.<\/p>\n

Prednosti nuklearki i elektrana na gas su konstantna proizvodnja energije tokom 24 sata<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Tro\u0161kovi snabdevanja obnovljivom energijom su ni\u017ei od proizvodnje elektri\u010dne energije iz prirodnog gasa, pre nego \u0161to se uzmu u obzir pitanja prenosa i obezbe\u0111ivanja snabdevanja kada Sunce ne sija, a vetar ne duva.<\/p>\n

Analiza pokazuje da je prose\u010dna cena energije iz vetroparka na kopnu u blizini lokacije informati\u010dkih centara 25 dolara po megavat satu (MWh) u SAD, solarne elektrane imaju cenu od 26 USD\/MWh, a kogenerativno postrojenje na prirodni gas 37 USD\/MWh bez tro\u0161kova emitovanja CO2.<\/p>\n

Ali, treba re\u0107i da fotonaponske elektrane u proseku rade samo oko \u0161est sati dnevno, a vetroelektrane devet sati, uz opasnost da ta proizvodnja ne bude stabilna. Prednosti nuklearki i elektrana na gas su konstantna proizvodnja energije tokom 24 sata.<\/p>\n

Trenutno u SAD stalno napajanje strujom sa niskim emisijama ko\u0161ta 19-72 USD\/MWh vi\u0161e nego iz gasnih elektrana<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Tro\u0161kovi prenosa, tako\u0111e, ulaze u jedna\u010dinu kada se vlasnici data centara odlu\u010duju za model snabdevanja. Verovatnije je da \u0107e elektrane na obnovljive izvore energije biti locirane dalje od velikih gradova u odnosu na gasne i delimi\u010dno nuklearne elektrane, pa \u0107e prenos strje biti skuplji.<\/p>\n

Sve ovo, smatraju autori analize, govori da \u0107e tehnolo\u0161ke kompanije biti prinu\u0111ene da kombinuju razli\u010dite izvore energije.<\/p>\n

Trenutno u SAD re\u0161enja za stalno napajanje sa niskim emisijama ko\u0161taju 19-72 USD\/MWh vi\u0161e nego snabdevanje iz kogeneracionih elektrana na gas. Ali, treba naglasiti da je u odnosu na EU SAD nemaju federalni mehanizam za odre\u0111ivanje cena ugljenika.<\/p>\n

Ako se doda 100 dolara po toni za CO2 cena struje iz gasnih elektrana je 91 USD\/MWh, iz solara i vetra sa baterijama, udaljenim od mesta potro\u0161nje, 87 dolara i iz nuklearki u blizini data centara 77 dolara, pokazala je analiza firme Goldman Sach Research<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

U SAD najjeftinije snabdevanje iz nuklearki, a najskuplje iz prirodnog gasa, pokazala je analiza firme Goldman Sachs 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