{"id":74164,"date":"2024-10-28T15:36:10","date_gmt":"2024-10-28T14:36:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/?p=74164"},"modified":"2024-10-30T08:40:27","modified_gmt":"2024-10-30T07:40:27","slug":"mervar-najjeftiniji-scenario-za-razvoj-slovenacke-energetike-je-bez-nuklearki","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/mervar-najjeftiniji-scenario-za-razvoj-slovenacke-energetike-je-bez-nuklearki\/","title":{"rendered":"Mervar: Najjeftiniji scenario za razvoj slovena\u010dke energetike je bez nuklearki"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ako se gledaju samo neophodne investicije, najbolji scenario za razvoj slovena\u010dke elektroenergetike je gradnja nove nuklearne elektrane Kr\u0161ko 2 i produ\u017eetka rada postoje\u0107e nuklearke Kr\u0161ko. Ali, ako se uklju\u010de i ostali tro\u0161kovi najjeftiniji scenario je bez gradnje nove nuklearne elektrane Kr\u0161ko 2 i bez produ\u017eetka rada nuklearke Kr\u0161ko, uz oslanjanje na solar, vetar, skladi\u0161tenje energije, gasne elektrane. Scenario sa 100 odsto obnovljivih izvora energije, nije ni izvodljiv, ni realan, naveo je u svojoj analizi Aleksander Mervar<\/a>, generalni direktor slovena\u010dkog operatora prenosnog sistema ELES.<\/h2>\n

Studiju izvodljivosti razli\u010ditih scenarija definisanih u Nacionalnom energetskom i klimatskom planu (NEKP), sa naglaskom na analizu scenarija 100 odsto obnovljivih izvora energije u slovena\u010dkom elektroenergetskom sektoru do 2050. godine Aleksander Mervar je sa svojim saradnicima uradio po narud\u017ebini Ministarstva \u017eivotne sredine, klime i energetike.<\/p>\n

Uporedo sa izradom studije ELES<\/a> je objavio i korigovanu analizu scenarija 100 odsto OIE. ELES je saop\u0161tio da dva dokumenta objavljuje zbog izuzetnog interesovanja medija.<\/p>\n

„Objavljivanjem oba dokumenta prvenstveno \u017eelimo da spre\u010dimo medijske i politi\u010dke spekulacije o navodnim nalazima studije, kao i manipulisanje i pogre\u0161no tuma\u010denje“, naveo je ELES.<\/p>\n

Studija je zavr\u0161ena 26. avgusta, ali je tek sad zvani\u010dno objavljena<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Studije su bile predmet razli\u010ditih tuma\u010denja u zavisnosti od toga da li tuma\u010di podr\u017eavaju ili se protive gradnji nuklearke Kr\u0161ko 2 (JEK 2). Tako\u0111e, su bile deo polemike prilikom odluke da se otka\u017ee referendum o JEK 2 zakazan za 24. novembar<\/a>.<\/p>\n

ELES je sada saop\u0161tio da je osnovna studija predata Ministarstvu 26. avgusta, a autor studije je u oktobru 2024. godine dopunio osnovnu verziju zbog novih \u010dinjenica dodatkom u poglavlju 7, strana 45.<\/p>\n

Dva rangiranja<\/h3>\n

U studiji se navodi da je analizom deset odabranih varijanti rangirane tri najbolje. Prva je rad elektrane Kr\u0161ko do 2063, gradnja Kr\u0161ka 2 i instalacija solarnih elektrana snage 3.250 MW (24,4 milijarde evra). Na drugom mestu je rad nuklearke Kr\u0161ko do 2064, odustajanje od projekta Kr\u0161ko 2 i gradnja fotonaponskih elektrana snage 7.000 MW (25,7 milijarde evra). Tre\u0107eplasirana je varijanta bez nuklearki Kr\u0161ko i Kr\u0161ko 2 i sa solarnim elektranama snage 8.595 MW (27,1 milijarda evra).<\/p>\n

Mervar navodi da su sve tri varijante izvodljive i da je zarad optimalnije i lak\u0161e odluke nadle\u017enih uradio i SWOT analizu ove tri varijante i scenarija 100% OIE.<\/p>\n

Rangiranje se menja kada se uklju\u010de\u00a0tro\u0161kovi rada i odr\u017eavanja, kao i gubici skladi\u0161tenja energije<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Ali, na slede\u0107oj strani studije, strani 45, on navodi da procene investicija priliko analize ovih deset varijanti ne uzimaju u obzir buduc\u0301e tro\u0161kove rada i odr\u017eavanja, kao i gubitke tokom ciklusa punjenja\/pra\u017enjenja reverzibilnih elektrana i baterija.<\/p>\n

Tro\u0161kovi rada i odr\u017eavanja su posebno izra\u017eeni u najbolje rangiranom scenariju, a tro\u0161kovi gubitaka u radu reverziblnih elektrana i baterija u varijanti koja je na tre\u0107em mestu.<\/p>\n

Ako se, kako ka\u017ee, i to uzme u obzir onda se rangiranje menja, pa su povoljnije varijante bez nuklearne energije. Tako tre\u0107eplasirana varijanta – bez gradnje nove i sa prestankom rada postoje\u0107e nuklearke postaje najjeftinija (35,7 milijardi evra), a scenario sa gradnjom elektrane Kr\u0161ko 2 i nastavkom rada Kr\u0161ka do 2063. najskuplji (53,9 milijardi evra). Opcija sa 100 odsto OIE je procenjena na 85,9 milijardi evra.<\/p>\n

Korigovana analiza scenarija 100 odsto OIE pove\u0107ava iznos prvoplasirane varijante na 39,4 milijarde, a tre\u0107eplasirane na 55,2 milijarde evra.<\/p>\n

Mervar: Podr\u017eavam dobro osmi\u0161ljen niskougljeni\u010dni scenario<\/h3>\n

ELES je u saop\u0161tenju<\/a> naveo da scenario sa 100 odsto obnovljivim izvorima energije nije ni realan, ni izvodljiv, a ekonomski je besmislen za elektroenergetski sistem Slovenije, za dr\u017eavu Sloveniju kao potencijalnog isplatioca subvencija, za investitore u solarne elektrane bez subvencija, kao i za slovena\u010dke krajnje potro\u0161a\u010de elektri\u010dne energije.<\/p>\n

Mervar, ina\u010de, pojam 100 odsto tuma\u010di kao sistem u kojem je sva proizvedena elektri\u010dna energija isklju\u010divo iz obnovljivih izvora energije. Zato u njega ne uklju\u010duje, na primer, proizvodnju elektri\u010dne energije iz reverzibilnih hidroelektrana i i baterija.<\/p>\n

Mervar podr\u017eava scenario izbalansirane obnovljive energije, sa kombinacijom kapaciteta za skladi\u0161tenje energije, proizvodnje zelenog vodonika i odgovarajuc\u0301ih strate\u0161kih rezervi u vidu gasnih elektrana, koje c\u0301e slu\u017eiti za premo\u0161c\u0301avanje vanrednih situacija u Evropi.<\/p>\n

Podr\u017eavam dobro osmi\u0161ljen niskougljeni\u010dni scenario, istakao je u studiji Mervar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Aleksander Mervar uradio je studiju izvodljivosti razli\u010ditih scenarija definisanih u Nacionalnom energetskom i klimatskom planu Slovenije<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":74165,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[504,1],"tags":[5931,807,700,6663,6415,6239,6710,4334,5024,2509,5627,6701,6063,1377,6839,3571,1890],"class_list":["post-74164","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-elektricna-energija","category-obnovljivi-izvori-energije","tag-aleksander-mervar","tag-baterije","tag-eles","tag-gasne-elektrane","tag-izjava-dana","tag-krsko","tag-krsko-2","tag-nacionalni-energetski-i-klimatski-plan","tag-nekp","tag-nuklearka","tag-nuklearna-elektrana","tag-nuklearna-elektrana-krsko","tag-nuklearna-energija","tag-operator-prenosnog-sistema","tag-reverzibilne-hidroelektrane","tag-skladistenje-energije","tag-solarne-elektrane","country-slovenija"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nMervar: 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