{"id":64941,"date":"2023-12-08T16:58:22","date_gmt":"2023-12-08T15:58:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/?p=64941"},"modified":"2023-12-12T08:05:10","modified_gmt":"2023-12-12T07:05:10","slug":"vecina-zemalja-nece-dostici-ciljeve-za-2030-za-vetroelektrane-na-moru","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/vecina-zemalja-nece-dostici-ciljeve-za-2030-za-vetroelektrane-na-moru\/","title":{"rendered":"Ve\u0107ina zemalja ne\u0107e dosti\u0107i ciljeve za 2030. za vetroelektrane na moru"},"content":{"rendered":"

Me\u0111u 19 zemalja sa ciljevima za vetroparkove na vodi do 2030. godine, samo Poljska i Irska su na pravom putu da planove od 5,9 GW odnodno 5 GW i dostignu, prema COP28 Globalnom izve\u0161taju o vetroelektranama na moru, koji je pripremila konsultanska ku\u0107a ERM.<\/h2>\n

O\u010dekuje se da ukupan kapacitet vetrparkova na moru dostigne 250 GW do 2030. godine, ali to je upola manje od preporuke Me\u0111unarodne agencije za obnovljivu energiju (IRENA) od 500 GW kako bi se ostvario scenario za neto nulte emisije iz najnovije Analize svetske energetske perspektive (eng. World Energy Outlook Analysis).<\/p>\n

Taj scenario predvi\u0111a trostruko povec\u0301anje ukupne snage elektrana na obnovljive izvore energije do 2030. na 11.000 GW, a onda i vi\u0161e od 33.000 GW do 2050. kako bi se globalno zagrevanje odr\u017ealo ispod 1,5 stepeni Celzijusa. To zna\u010di da bi snaga vetroparkova na moru trebalo da se sa dana\u0161njih 64 GW pove\u0107a na 494 GW do 2030. i na 2.465 GW do 2050.<\/p>\n

U pomenutih 19 zemalja planirana je instalacija 255 GW, ali ERM predvi\u0111a da c\u0301e samo 160 GW biti operativno do 2030. O\u010dekuje, kako se dodaje, da sedam zemalja proma\u0161iti svoje ciljeve za 50-100 odsto.<\/p>\n

\"vetroparkovi<\/p>\n

Trenutni globalni operativni kapacitet vetropakova, kako se dalje navodi, prestavlja samo 13 odsto od potrebnih 494 GW da bi se ispunio cilj koji je postavila IRENA.<\/p>\n

Na osnovu prora\u010duna ove Agencije taj kapacitet trebalo bi da se povec\u0301a za vi\u0161e od sedam puta u narednih sedam godina, kako bi se dostigao njen cilj.<\/p>\n

Pod pretpostavkom da svi trenutno sigurni projekti, snage 107 GW, budu i realizovani, neophodno je dodatnih 323 GW, koji su trenutno u razvoju, budu na mre\u017ei do 2030, navodi se u Izve\u0161taju.<\/p>\n

Na sve to, ova godina je bila u znaku odlaganja i otkazivanja projekata, izazvanih povec\u0301anjem tro\u0161kova zbog problema u lancima snabdevanja, kao i rasta inflacije i kamatnih stopa.<\/p>\n

Poremec\u0301aji su uglavnom uticali na srednjoro\u010dne projekte, ne i na dugoro\u010dne<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Developeri, kako tvrdi ERM, i dalje \u017eele da nastave svoje dugoro\u010dne planove rasta uprkos trenutnom povec\u0301anju tro\u0161kova od 40 odsto zbog rasta kamatnih stopa, inflacije i problema sa lancem snabdevanja. Poremec\u0301aji su, dodaju, uglavnom uticali na srednjoro\u010dne projekte koji bi trebalo da budu zavr\u0161eni pre kraja decenije.<\/p>\n

Primeri neuspe\u0161nih projekata uklju\u010duju Veliku Britaniju gde nijedan kapacitet nije pro\u0161ao na aukciji, SAD, gde se ponovo pregovaraju i raskidaju ugovori o otkupu elektri\u010dne energije, Poljsku, gde developeri odla\u017eu kona\u010dne investicione odluke.<\/p>\n

Me\u0111utim, ERM isti\u010de da dokazana tehnologija, interesovanje investitora i zna\u010dajni projekti u razvoju predstavljaju dobre temelje za \u0161irenje vetroelektrana na vodi, ali i dalje postoje kriti\u010dni izazovi, kao \u0161to su izdavanje dozvola, mre\u017ea, lanac snabdevanja i finansijska podr\u0161ka.<\/p>\n

Kina je preuzela lidersku poziciju<\/h3>\n

\"vetroparkovi<\/p>\n

U periodu od COP27 za glavnu promenu odgovorna je Kina koja je u ukupnom operativnom kapacitetu pretekla mesto ro\u0111enja industrije vetra na vodi \u2013 Evropu.<\/p>\n

Od COP27, 9 GW vetroelektrana je po\u010delo sa radom, dok je skoro 50 GW osiguralo put do tr\u017ei\u0161ta. Vi\u0161e od 75 odsto novih\u00a0 kapaciteta izgra\u0111eno je u Kini, uz manji napredak na drugim tr\u017ei\u0161tima: po jedan projekat u Velikoj Britaniji, Norve\u0161koj, Nema\u010dkoj i Tajvanu“, navodi se u Izve\u0161taju.<\/p>\n

Plutaju\u0107e vetroelektrane nec\u0301e napredovati dovoljno brzo da doprinesu ciljevima za 2030.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

ERM procenjuje da je ukupni globalni kapacitet projekata za plutajuc\u0301e vetroparkove u razvoju ve\u0107i od 400 GW. Iako ovi projekti susti\u017eu kapacitete fiksirane za dno, tr\u017ei\u0161te, dodaju, nije dovoljno razvijeno jer mnoge barijere to\u00a0 ometaju.<\/p>\n

Trenutno je u funkciji samo 218 MW plutajuc\u0301eg kapaciteta, a samo 158 MM je osiguralo put do tr\u017ei\u0161ta (bez Kine).<\/p>\n

O\u010dekuje se, isti\u010de ERM, da c\u0301e samo mali deo plutajuc\u0301ih vetroparkova, oko 0,04 odsto, doprineti ciljevima za 2030.<\/p>\n

Kako vetroelektrane fiksirane za dno ostaju jedina dokazana tehnologija za priobalni vetar u komercijalnim razmerama, vlade bi trebalo da se fokusiraju na ove projekte za kratkoro\u010dno ubrzanje kako bi se ispunili ciljevi za 2030, savetuje ERM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Me\u0111u 19 zemalja sa ciljevima za vetroparkove na vodi do 2030. godine, \u010dini se da su samo Poljska i Irska na pravom putu da ih i dostignu<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":64944,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[504,1],"tags":[6852,652,6028,2341,6510,5932,4891],"class_list":["post-64941","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-elektricna-energija","category-obnovljivi-izvori-energije","tag-cop28","tag-investicije","tag-plutajuce-vetroelektrane","tag-vetroelektrane","tag-vetroelektrane-na-moru","tag-vetroelektrane-na-vodi","tag-vetroparkovi","country-svet"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nVe\u0107ina zemalja ne\u0107e dosti\u0107i ciljeve za 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