{"id":59564,"date":"2023-06-05T17:49:12","date_gmt":"2023-06-05T15:49:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/?p=59564"},"modified":"2023-06-05T17:49:12","modified_gmt":"2023-06-05T15:49:12","slug":"globalno-zagrevanje-ce-raseliti-preko-jedne-milijarde-ljudi-nova-studija","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/globalno-zagrevanje-ce-raseliti-preko-jedne-milijarde-ljudi-nova-studija\/","title":{"rendered":"Globalno zagrevanje \u0107e raseliti preko jedne milijarde ljudi \u2013 nova studija"},"content":{"rendered":"

Migracije su stare koliko i ljudski rod. Razlozi za promenu mesta boravka su brojni, po\u010dev od \u017eelje za boljim \u017eivotom, do jedine preostale \u0161anse za opstanak. Klimatske promene na mnogim mestima uzrokuju gotovo nemogu\u0107e uslove za \u017eivot. Nau\u010dnici tvrde da \u0107e rast temperature izazvati pomeranje preko jedne milijarde ljudi.<\/h2>\n

Studija<\/a> koju su predvodili nau\u010dnici sa britanskog Univerziteta Ekseter i Univerziteta Nanking u Kini pokazala je da je 60 miliona ljudi ve\u0107 izlo\u017eeno opasnim nivoima toplote. Opasan nivo toplote karakteri\u0161e prose\u010dna godi\u0161nja temperatura od 29 i vi\u0161e stepeni Celzijusa. Svet se kre\u0107e ka porastu temperature od 2,7 stepena Celzijusa sa razine izmerene u predindustrijskom periodu \u2013 u drugoj polovini 19. veka. To zna\u010di da \u0107e preko dve milijarde ljudi biti izlo\u017eeno ovako visokoj temperaturi.<\/p>\n

Gotovo svi ljudi ve\u0107 hiljadama godina \u017eive u podru\u010djima koja se nazivaju klimatskom ni\u0161om. Najve\u0107a gustina naseljenosti je na mestima gde je srednja godi\u0161nja temperatura oko 13 stepeni Celzijusa. Izvan klimatske ni\u0161e je prevru\u0107e, prehladno ili previ\u0161e suvo, a u takvim uslovima je ve\u0107a stopa smrtnosti, proizvodi se manje hrane i ni\u017ei je ekonomski rast.<\/p>\n

Sude\u0107i po merama koje su dr\u017eave sveta usvojile u pogledu ubla\u017eavanja klimatskih promena, porast temperature \u0107e pre kraja veka dosti\u0107i 2,7 stepena Celzijusa<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Nova studija pokazuje da su klimatske promene ve\u0107 izbacile devet odsto globalne populacije, odnosno vi\u0161e od 600 miliona ljudi, izvan klimatske ni\u0161e. Sude\u0107i po merama koje su dr\u017eave sveta usvojile u pogledu ubla\u017eavanja klimatskih promena, temperatura \u0107e jo\u0161 u ovom veku porasti<\/a> za 2,7 stepena Celzijusa. To zna\u010di da \u0107e gotovo tre\u0107ina svetskog stanovni\u0161tva biti izba\u010dena iz klimatske ni\u0161e, navodi se u studiji.<\/p>\n

\u201eKlimatska ni\u0161a ozna\u010dava prostor gde ljudi prosperiraju i gde su prosperirali vekovima, ako ne i \u010ditavim pro\u0161lim milenijumima. Kada su ljudi izvan ni\u0161e, oni ne prosperiraju\u201c, rekao je profesor Tim Lenton sa Univerziteta u Ekseteru, vo\u0111a istra\u017eivanja.<\/p>\n

Previsoke temperature \u010dine uslove \u017eivota nepodno\u0161ljivima<\/h3>\n

Hitne mere za smanjenje emisija ugljen-dioksida i odr\u017eavanje globalne temperature na nivou rasta od najvi\u0161e 1,5 stepeni Celzijusa ograni\u010dile bi bi broj ljudi koji su izgurani iz klimatske ni\u0161e, tvrde nau\u010dnici. Za svakih 0,1 stepen zagrevanja iznad sada\u0161njeg nivoa, oko 140 miliona ljudi vi\u0161e \u0107e biti izlo\u017eeno opasno visokim temperaturama, navodi se u studiji.<\/p>\n

Na udaru su neke od najmnogoljudnijih zemalja, poput Indije<\/a> i Nigerije. Indija se ve\u0107 suo\u010dava sa ekstremnim toplotnim talasima. Studija iz 2021.<\/a> je pokazala da je vi\u0161e od tre\u0107ine smrtnih slu\u010dajeva uzrokovanih previsokim temperaturama vazduha od 1991. do 2018. direktna posledica globalnog zagrevanja uzrokovanog ljudskim delovanjem.<\/p>\n

Profesor Tim Lenton, koji je vodio istra\u017eivanje, skrenuo je pa\u017enju na to da se tro\u0161kovi globalnog zagrevanja uglavnom izra\u017eavaju u finansijskim kategorijama. \u201eNa\u0161a studija nagla\u0161ava cenu ljudskog neuspeha da se uhvati uko\u0161tac sa klimatskom krizom“, istakao je.<\/p>\n

Utvr\u0111eno je da previsoke temperature vazduha dovode do niza faktora koji pogor\u0161avaju uslove \u017eivota, obja\u0161njava profesor \u010ci Sju sa Univerziteta Nanking u Kini, koji je u\u010destvovao u istra\u017eivanju. On je istakao pove\u0107anje stope smrtnosti, umanjivanje produktivnosti rada, probleme sa u\u010denjem i pam\u0107enjem, nepovoljne ishode trudno\u0107e, smanjenje prinosa hrane, ve\u0107u u\u010destalost sukoba i \u0161irenje zaraznih bolesti.<\/p>\n

Stanovni\u0161tvo gurnuto izvan klimatske ni\u0161e vi\u0161e razmi\u0161lja o migraciji na hladnija mesta<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Profesor Marten Shefer sa Univerziteta Vageningen u Holandiji i jedan od glavnih autora studije, rekao je da bi oni koji su izba\u010deni izvan klimatske ni\u0161e mogli da po\u010dnu da razmi\u0161ljaju o migraciji u hladnija podru\u010dja. \u201eTo ne bi bile migracije vi\u0161e desetina miliona, ve\u0107 bi brojka bila oko jedne milijarde\u201d, naglasio je.<\/p>\n

Lenton je rekao da je studija dokazala „ogromnu nejednakost“ klimatskog vanrednog stanja. Naime, najve\u0107e promene i izlo\u017eenost ekstremnoj toploti trpe oni ljudi \u010dije aktivnosti uzrokuju niske emisije gasova s efektom staklene ba\u0161te.<\/p>\n

Kao najprakti\u010dniju i najneposredniju opciju za prilago\u0111avanje visokim temperaturama, Lenton predla\u017ee \u0161irenje zelenih povr\u0161ina, pre svega u gradovima. „One mogu smanjiti ekstremne temperature za do pet stepeni Celzijusa i pru\u017eiti hlad, \u0161to je ogromna razlika\u201c, dodao je.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Klimatske promene na mnogim mestima uzrokuju gotovo nemogu\u0107e uslove za \u017eivot, pa je mogu\u0107e da \u0107e se \u010dak milijarda ljudi raseliti<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":59566,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5909],"tags":[6442,883,5201,766,6429],"class_list":["post-59564","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-klimatske-promene","tag-ekstremne-vrucine","tag-globalno-zagrevanje","tag-klimatska-kriza","tag-klimatske-promene","tag-toplotni-talas","country-svet"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nGlobalno zagrevanje \u0107e raseliti preko jedne milijarde ljudi \u2013 nova studija<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" 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