{"id":49606,"date":"2022-06-23T10:09:58","date_gmt":"2022-06-23T08:09:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/?p=49606"},"modified":"2022-06-23T10:11:17","modified_gmt":"2022-06-23T08:11:17","slug":"klimatske-promene-na-delu-severna-hemisfera-docekala-leto-sa-ekstremnim-temperaturama","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/klimatske-promene-na-delu-severna-hemisfera-docekala-leto-sa-ekstremnim-temperaturama\/","title":{"rendered":"Klimatske promene na delu: Severna hemisfera do\u010dekala leto sa ekstremnim temperaturama"},"content":{"rendered":"

Leto je tek po\u010delo, a ve\u0107 je zabele\u017eeno niz ekstremnih vremenskih nepogoda. Toplotni rekordi i visoke temperature su posledica akumulacije emisija gasova sa efektom staklene ba\u0161te, isti\u010du nau\u010dnici. Nakon toplotnog udara u zapadnoj Evropi, sa junskim temperaturama od preko 40 stepeni, vreli talasi se o\u010dekuju i na Balkanu. U Svetskoj meteorolo\u0161koj organizaciji (WMO) upozoravaju da su ekstremi kojima svedo\u010dimo danas samo nagove\u0161taj onoga \u0161to dolazi u buduc\u0301nosti.<\/h2>\n

Delovi Evrope u junu suo\u010dili su se prvim toplotnim talasom, koji je stigao i pre nego \u0161to je leto kalendarski i po\u010delo. U Iraku je zabele\u017eeno +51,6\u00b0C, Indija i Pakistan su ve\u0107 pro\u0161li kroz prvi toplotni udar. Ki\u0161a nije pala mesecima u plodnoj dolini reke Po u Italiji.<\/p>\n

Me\u0111utim, porast temperature se ne\u0107e ovde zaustaviti, jer su procesi klimatskih promena ve\u0107 pokrenuti, upozoravaju nau\u010dnici.<\/p>\n

Sve toplija leta u Evropi<\/h3>\n

Najtoplije leto u Evropi od kako se vr\u0161e merenja je bilo leto 2021<\/a>, ali sude\u0107i prema visokim temperaturama u maju i junu, leto na kontinenutu 2022. obele\u017ei\u0107e tako\u0111e ekstremi. WMO<\/a> navodi da je intenzivan toplotni talas u Evropi do\u0161ao neuobi\u010dajeno rano i ve\u0107 doneo temperature tipi\u010dne za jul ili avgust.<\/p>\n

U delovima \u0160panije i Francuske zabele\u017eene su temeprature 10\u00b0C vi\u0161e od proseka za ovo doba godine<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

U delovima \u0160panije i Francuske zabele\u017eene su temeprature 10\u00b0C vi\u0161e od proseka za ovo doba godine. Prolec\u0301e u zapadnoj Evropi bilo je neuobi\u010dajeno su\u0161no. U pojedinim dr\u017eavama vlasti su naredile racionalnu potro\u0161nju vode.<\/p>\n

\"\"
Foto: WMO<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Intenzivne temperature i nedostatak ki\u0161e doprineli su raspirivanju \u0161umskih po\u017eara \u0161irom \u0160panije. Po\u017eari su nedavno zahvatili i \u0161ume u okolini Berlina.<\/p>\n

Globalni klimatski disbalans<\/h3>\n

Polovinom juna, skoro jedna trec\u0301ina stanovni\u0161tva u Sjedinjenim Dr\u017eavama je bila pod nekom vrstom toplotnog alarma.<\/p>\n

Toplotni talas u Indiji i Pakistanu u martu i aprilu, sa temperaturama koje su dostizale 50 stepeni, ugrozio je skoro milijardu ljudi<\/a> i doveo do prekida snabdevanja elektri\u010dnom energijom na tom potkontinentu.<\/p>\n

\"\"
Foto: NASA<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Spas na selu<\/h3>\n

Kada se globalna temperatura povisi za 1,5\u00b0C usledi\u0107e ja\u010di toplotni talasi, du\u017ee tople i krac\u0301e hladne sezone. Ukoliko se dostigne 2\u00b0C globalnog zagrevanja, tada \u0107e ekstremne toplote \u010desto dostizati kriti\u010dne pragove tolerancije za poljoprivredu i zdravlje, isti\u010du u ovom me\u0111uvladinom panelu.<\/p>\n

Posebno mogu biti stresne visoke minimalne temperature tokom noc\u0301i, kada telo treba da se oporavi<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Ekstremne vruc\u0301ine su smrtonosne, posebno za ranjivi deo populacije, upozorava WMO. Posebno mogu biti stresne visoke minimalne temperature tokom noc\u0301i, kada telo treba da se oporavi. Ovome su podlo\u017eniji stanovnici gradova, zbog takozvanog efekta urbanog toplotnog ostrva koji povec\u0301ava toplotne uticaje, u pore\u0111enju sa selima gde ima vi\u0161e vegetacije.<\/p>\n

Razlika izme\u0111u temperature u gradu i u ruralnim oblastima mogla da bude i do 6\u00b0C, navode istra\u017eiva\u010di. Razlika je posebno izra\u017eena noc\u0301u, a jedan od razloga je taj \u0161to materijali koji se koriste u zgradama i u infrastrukturi apsorbuju ve\u0107u koli\u010dinu toplote.<\/p>\n

Porast prose\u010dne temperature i u narednim godinama<\/h3>\n

Prema najavama nau\u010dnika, toplotni talasi, natprose\u010dne temperature i mala koli\u010dina padavina skoro su izvesni u ju\u017enoj i jugoisto\u010dnoj Evropi ovoga leta. A tu spada i region Balkana.<\/p>\n

\u0110ur\u0111evi\u0107: Danas, kod nas u zemlji, ima 2-3 puta vi\u0161e toplotnih talasa u odnosu na sredinu dvadesetog veka<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

„<\/span>Jedno od najprepoznatljivijih lica klimatskih promena su neuobi\u010dajeno visoke temperature, pove\u0107ani broj i intenzitet toplotnih talasa i relativno \u010desto probijanje temperaturnih rekorda. Ne zna\u010di to da \u0107e svako leto biti toplije od prethodnog, ali u proseku izrazito toplija leta se de\u0161avaju sve \u010de\u0161\u0107e a broj toplotnih talasa bi\u0107e zna\u010dajno ve\u0107i. Danas, kod nas u zemlji, ima 2-3 puta vi\u0161e toplotnih talasa u odnosu na sredinu dvadesetog veka. Tri od pet toplotnih talasa se uop\u0161te ne bi ni desio da nije bilo klimatskih promena, odnosno da nije do\u0161lo do uve\u0107anja koncentracije ugljendioksida u atmosferi usled antropogenih emisija ovog gasa“ ka\u017ee za Balkan Green Energy News <\/span>Vladimir \u0110ur\u0111evi\u0107<\/a>, profesor meteorologije na Fizi\u010dkom fakultetu u Beogradu.<\/span><\/p>\n

S obzirom da se trend emisija nije mnogo promenio, mo\u017eemo o\u010dekivati dalji porast prose\u010dne temeperature i u narednim godinama.<\/p>\n

\u0110ur\u0111evi\u0107 objasnjava da ce proces promene klime \u0107e biti sve br\u017ei i br\u017ei, po\u0161to koncentracija CO2 u atmosferi i dalje neumoljivo raste, prvenstveno jer i dalje nema adekvatnih politika, planova i akcija dekarbonizacije koje bi ovaj trend preokrenule.<\/p>\n

O\u010dekuje se da \u0107e oko 2034. godine biti pre\u0111ena i granica od 1,5 \u00b0C, koja je u stvari ambiciozniji cilj Pariskog sporazuma, istakao je.<\/p>\n

\u0110ur\u0111evi\u0107: O\u010dekuje se da \u0107e oko 2034. godine biti pre\u0111ena i granica od 1,5 \u00b0C<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

„Globalne inicijative i ako danas deluju mnogo solidnije nego u pro\u0161losti, i dalje na neki na\u010din tragaju za pravom formulom za dekarbonizacij. I dalje je sve to vi\u0161e na nivou primera dobre prakse, nego jasnih i \u010dvrstih planova \u010dija implementacija pokazuje merljive rezultate iz godine u godinu, u obimu koji je potreban. EU verovatno prednja\u010di u ovom procesu, u pozitivnom smislu, ali i dalje na horizontu nema odgovaraju\u0107e i vi\u0161e nego potrebne globalne akcije,“ ka\u017ee \u0110ur\u0111evi\u0107.<\/p>\n

Zaustaviti i usporiti dalje zagrevanje<\/h3>\n

Pitali smo profesora \u0110ur\u0111evi\u0107a da li negativne emisije mogu da preokrenu procese globanog zagrevanja, odnosno da li su mogu\u0107i reverzibilni procesi u kilmatskom sistemu?<\/p>\n

„O negativnim emisijama, bilo da su one \u201eprirodne\u201c, npr. masovno po\u0161umljavanje ili \u201etehnolo\u0161ke\u201c, razna postrojenja za uklanjanje ugljendioksida iz atmosfere, prvenstveno treba razmi\u0161ljati kao o poslednjoj \u0161ansi. Jednostavno, drasti\u010dno smanjenje emisija uvek treba biti na prvom mestu,“ istako je profesor.<\/p>\n

\u0110ur\u0111evi\u0107 je tako\u0111e ukazao i da polagati nade, posebno u \u201etehnolo\u0161ka\u201c re\u0161enja je samo odraz nedovoljnog razumevanja ovog problema, i prevelikog neopravdanog optimizma u smislu potencijalnog razvoja ovih tehnolo\u0161kih re\u0161enja. Po njegovim re\u010dima, klimatske promene, pokrenute antropogenim emisijama, su ireverzibilan proces. Ne mogu se stvari vratiti unazad, samo se mogu zaustaviti na nekom nivou.<\/p>\n

„Za povratak na klimu iz vremena pre-industrijske revolucije, odnosno na spu\u0161tanje koncentracije CO2 u atmosferi iz tog vremena, bi\u0107e potrebne hiljade godina, ukoliko taj proces bude vo\u0111en prirodnim procesima. Za slu\u010daju da mi \u017eelimo da \u201eubrzamo\u201c prirodu, potrebno je, na\u017ealost, jo\u0161 mnogo istra\u017eivanja i razvoja novih tehnologija, ali i velika koli\u010dina novca, sa velikim znakom pitanja da li je takav proces ikada mo\u017ee biti ekonomski opravdan,“ rekao je \u0110ur\u0111evi\u0107.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Leto je tek po\u010delo, a ve\u0107 je zabele\u017eeno niz ekstremnih vremenskih nepogoda. Toplotni rekordi i…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":30,"featured_media":49693,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5909],"tags":[3279,4220,766,6429,1331,5921],"class_list":["post-49606","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-klimatske-promene","tag-dekarbonizacija","tag-emisije-gasova-sa-efektom-staklene-baste","tag-klimatske-promene","tag-toplotni-talas","tag-vladimir-durdevic","tag-zivotna-sredina","country-svet"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nKlimatske promene na delu: Severna hemisfera do\u010dekala leto sa ekstremnim temperaturama<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Toplotni talasi po\u010dinju ranije i postaju sve \u010de\u0161c\u0301i, a ekstremi 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