{"id":31560,"date":"2020-06-24T09:07:34","date_gmt":"2020-06-24T07:07:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/?p=31560"},"modified":"2020-06-26T16:30:37","modified_gmt":"2020-06-26T14:30:37","slug":"covid-19-izazovi-i-prilike-za-sektor-daljinske-energetike","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/covid-19-izazovi-i-prilike-za-sektor-daljinske-energetike\/","title":{"rendered":"COVID-19: Izazovi i prilike za sektor daljinske energetike"},"content":{"rendered":"

Autori: Greg Gebrail, stru\u010dnjak za energetiku, Grupa za odr\u017eivu infrastrukturu, i Bojan Bogdanovi\u0107, menad\u017eer Fonda za obnovljive izvore u daljinskoj energetici na Zapadnom Balkanu (ReDEWeB), Evropska banka za obnovu i razvoj (EBRD) \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

Sistemi daljinske energetike su uobi\u010dajena pojava u urbanim sredinama, a daljinsko grejanje je naj\u010de\u0161\u0107i vid grejanja za stambene i poslovne objekte u mnogim zemljama u kojima EBRD posluje. U pore\u0111enju sa ostalim komunalnim sektorima, sistem daljinske energetike je imao najmanji neposredni rizik od pove\u0107anja potra\u017enje u periodu kada se pandemija COVID 19 pojavila s obzirom na doba godine. Me\u0111utim, pojava pandemije i drasti\u010dne mere preduzete kao odgovor pokre\u0107u nekoliko va\u017enih pitanja kojih bi operateri u okviru sektora i donosioci regulative trebalo da budu svesni.<\/h2>\n

Potra\u017enja za energijom<\/span><\/h3>\n

S obzirom na to da je u toku pandemije potrebno da velika ve\u0107ina stanovni\u0161tva ostane kod ku\u0107e, o\u010dekuje se da do\u0111e do pove\u0107ane potra\u017enje za grejanjem prostora i za potro\u0161nom toplom vodom u stambenom prostoru, uporedo sa zna\u010dajnim smanjenjem potra\u017enje za toplotnom energijom u poslovnom prostoru i industriji. Sre\u0107om, u vreme kad je do\u0161lo do ostajanja ljudi kod ku\u0107e u regionu u kome EBRD posluje, period vr\u0161ne potro\u0161nje toplotne energije je ve\u0107 pro\u0161ao, te su sistemi daljinskog grejanja radili sa dovoljnim rezervama u proizvodnim kapacitetima. Kako se period ostajanja kod ku\u0107e produ\u017eavao, vreme je postajalo sve toplije i sistemi su zavr\u0161ili svoju grejnu sezonu. Ovo se tako\u0111e odnosi na regione u kojima stanovnici koriste prirodni gas i ku\u0107ne individualne kotlarnice.<\/p>\n

Sistemi za daljinsko hla\u0111enje jo\u0161 nisu rasprostranjeni u zemljama u kojima EBRD posluje, ali kod pojave pandemije u zemljama sa toplijom klimom i u toku letnjih meseci, ostajanje kod \u00a0ku\u0107e mo\u017ee pove\u0107ati potra\u017enju za hla\u0111enjem u stambenom prostoru i opteretiti gradske elektroenergetske mre\u017ee.<\/p>\n

Operativni rad<\/span><\/h3>\n

Javna preduze\u0107a, kao \u0161to su operateri daljinske energetike, pod pritiskom su da moraju da pru\u017eaju usluge koje su od vitalnog zna\u010daja, dok \u00a0se suo\u010davaju sa nedostatkom obrtnog kapitala zbog politika vlada koje obustavljaju ili odla\u017eu pla\u0107anje usluga od strane stanovni\u0161tva. Oni mo\u017eda ne\u0107e imati dovoljno obrtnih sredstava za odr\u017eavanje sistema u funkcionalnom stanju, pla\u0107anje zaposlenih ili finansiranje planiranih investicija u infrastrukturu (\u0161to mo\u017ee uklju\u010divati i osnovno odr\u017eavanje koje mora biti zavr\u0161eno u letnjim mesecima). Rizik je ovde o\u010digledan i EBRD mo\u017ee da podr\u017ei operatere daljinskog grejanja da prebrode ovaj period kroz novi paket solidarnosti<\/a> EBRD Banke.<\/p>\n

Pitanje obrtnog kapitala mo\u017ee da uti\u010de na snabdevanje gorivom, ali malo je verovatno da \u0107e pandemija izazvati prekide u snabdevanju, osim ako ne do\u0111e do ozbiljnog ekonomskog \u0161oka ili politi\u010dkih nemira.<\/p>\n

Odsustvo radne snage predstavlja rizik, posebno u zemljama poslovanja EBRD-a gde je jo\u0161 uvek rasprostranjen neposredan fizi\u010dki nadzor i upravljanje infrastrukturom sistema. Mere socijalnog distanciranja tako\u0111e mogu uticati na aktivnosti odr\u017eavanja i operateri \u0107e morati da obu\u010de osoblje i obezbede odgovaraju\u0107u li\u010dnu za\u0161titnu opremu, posebno tamo gde je potreban ljudski kontakt. Situacija bi se mogla pogor\u0161ati usled nepovoljnog starosnog profila zaposlenih u sektoru daljinskog grejanja u \u010ditavom regionu poslovanja EBRD-a; zna\u010dajan deo radne snage stariji je od pedeset godina i i ima ve\u0107i rizik od oboljenja od respiratornih infekcija. Navedena pitanja mogla bi negativno da uti\u010du na sigurnost snabdevanja toplotnom energijom.<\/p>\n

Investicije<\/span><\/h3>\n

Manjak obrtnog kapitala i neposredne potrebe za finansiranjem klju\u010dnih operativnih funkcija mogli bi rezultirati zamrzavanjem ili znatnim smanjenjem ulaganja u kapitalne investicije, uklju\u010duju\u0107i projekte koji su ve\u0107\u0301 u izgradnji. Odlaganje remonta ili investicija u unapre\u0111enje sistema negativno \u0107e se odraziti na pouzdanost istih i efikasnost u radu u srednjem i dugoro\u010dnom periodu.<\/p>\n

Prelazak na energente sa niskim emisijama ugljenika<\/span><\/h3>\n

Kombinacija smanjene potra\u017enje za energijom zbog pandemije i rata cena izme\u0111u glavnih proizvo\u0111a\u010da nafte prouzrokovala je drasti\u010dan pad cena fosilnih goriva i potra\u017enje za naknadama za CO2 emisije (EU ETS). Postoji zabrinutost da \u0107e se time smanjiti motivacija za dalje smanjenje emisija ugljendioksida u sektoru grejanja i hla\u0111enja, dok privremeni pad cena mo\u017ee negativno uticati na planirana ulaganja ili regulative koje podr\u017eavaju kori\u0161\u0107enje obnovljivih izvora energije ili otpadne toplotne energije. Da bi se odr\u017eao proces , va\u017eno je da se podr\u0161ka re\u0161enjima koja omogu\u0107uju niske emisije ugljenika nastavi i da bude sna\u017enija u pogledu suo\u010davanja sa ovim izazovima.<\/p>\n

Dugoro\u010dni uticaji<\/span><\/h3>\n

Pad cena fosilnih goriva negativno \u0107e uticati na dr\u017eavne prihode u zemljama u kojima EBRD posluje, a koje imaju veliki naftni i gasni sektor, kao npr. Kazahstan. U zavisnosti od du\u017eine trajanja krize, subvencije ili ve\u0161ta\u010dki niske cene komunalija mogu da uti\u010du na odr\u017eivost, i dovesti do promenecena. Suprotno mo\u017ee da se desi u drugim zemljama u kojima se vlasti mogu suo\u010diti sa du\u017eim pritiskom kako bi zamrzle ili smanjile cene usled pove\u0107ane nezaposlenosti ili raznih ekonomskih pote\u0161ko\u0107a.<\/p>\n

Rudimentarni sistemi grejanja ku\u0107a na bazi \u010dvrstih goriva i lokalni kotlovi na fosilna goriva klju\u010dni su izvori zaga\u0111enja vazduha u gradovima. Pandemija je tako\u0111e istakla negativan uticaj zaga\u0111enja vazduha na javno zdravlje. Istra\u017eiva\u010di sa Harvarda primetili su alarmantnu povezanost izme\u0111u nivoa zaga\u0111enja suspendovanim \u010desticama u ameri\u010dkim dr\u017eavama i stope smrtnosti od COVID-19 u tim dr\u017eavama. ii To mo\u017ee generisati i dodatno pove\u0107ati fokus vlasti ili kreatora strate\u0161kih dokumenata da podr\u017ee \u0161irenje sistema daljinskog grejanja zbog borbe protiv lo\u0161eg kvaliteta vazduha u svojim gradovima i regionima.<\/p>\n

Usled nedostatka vakcine postoji rizik da COVID-19 mo\u017ee slediti sli\u010dan obrazac kao sezonski grip i ponovo se pojaviti u kasnu jesen ili zimu. Rizik od ponovne pojave virusa i ostajanja kod ku\u0107e koji se poklapaju sa po\u010detkom sezone grejanja ili se javljaju tokom hladnijih zimskih meseci dodatno nagla\u0161avaju va\u017enost zavr\u0161etka letnjih aktivnosti odr\u017eavanja, pove\u0107anja redundantnosti sistema i postavljanja planova za slu\u010daj ne\u017eeljenih situacija u slu\u010daju velikog odsustva osoblja. Obezbe\u0111ivanje dugoro\u010dne pouzdanosti sistema i sigurnosti snabdevanja toplotnom energijom bi\u0107e od presudnog zna\u010daja za za\u0161titu ugro\u017eenih kategorija stanovni\u0161tva koji bi bili u najnepovoljnijem polo\u017eaju ukoliko se prekine sa isporukom usluga.<\/p>\n

Mogu\u0107i odgovor EBRD-a vezan za usluge daljinskog grejanja:<\/p>\n

\"EBRD<\/p>\n

i Prose\u010dna starost ~ 2000 zaposlenih u JKP Beogradske elektrane je 50 godina (Plan poslovanja 2020)).<\/p>\n

ii The Economist \u2013 25.04. 2020 (link)<\/a> a<\/a>nd 18.04. 2020 (link<\/a>)<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Autori: Greg Gebrail, stru\u010dnjak za energetiku, Grupa za odr\u017eivu infrastrukturu, i Bojan Bogdanovi\u0107, menad\u017eer Fonda…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":31561,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[484],"tags":[2101,5487,5093,5335,146,1606,652],"class_list":["post-31560","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-u-fokusu","tag-bojan-bogdanovic","tag-covid-19","tag-daljinska-energetika","tag-daljinsko-grejanje","tag-ebrd","tag-evropska-banka-za-obnovu-i-razvoj","tag-investicije","country-regioneu"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nCOVID-19: Izazovi i prilike za sektor daljinske energetike<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Greg 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