{"id":28977,"date":"2020-03-31T00:02:02","date_gmt":"2020-03-30T22:02:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/?p=28977"},"modified":"2020-05-06T18:29:36","modified_gmt":"2020-05-06T16:29:36","slug":"najveca-pretnja-globalnoj-privredi-su-ekoloski-rizici","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/najveca-pretnja-globalnoj-privredi-su-ekoloski-rizici\/","title":{"rendered":"Najve\u0107a pretnja globalnoj privredi su ekolo\u0161ki rizici"},"content":{"rendered":"

Autor: Danko Kalkan, ekspert za zeleno finansiranje i upravljanje u za\u0161titi \u017eivotne sredine\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

Klimatske promene, intenzivno kori\u0161\u0107enje resursa i drugi ekolo\u0161ki rizici najve\u0107a su pretnja globalnoj ekonomiji. \u0160irenje zaraza je tako\u0111e posledica ugro\u017eavanja \u017eivotne sredine. Odluke koje se budu donosile ove godine ima\u0107e presudnu ulogu za uspostavljanje odr\u017eivog razvoja.<\/h2>\n

Petnaesto izdanje Izve\u0161taja o globalnim rizicima Svetskog ekonomskog foruma donosi sa sobom jednu novinu \u2013 prvi put od kada izlazi, ekolo\u0161ki rizici dominiraju me\u0111u najzna\u010dajnijim opasnostima po svetsku ekonomiju u narednoj deceniji. Posebno se isti\u010du oni ekolo\u0161ki rizici koji su povezani sa neuspehom klimatske akcije, zatim sa gubitkom biodiverziteta, kao i ekstremni vremenski uslovi (npr. toplotni udari).<\/p>\n

Tako\u0111e, u prvih deset rizika spadaju i prirodne i druge ekolo\u0161ke katastrofe izazvane ljudskom rukom.<\/p>\n

\"\"
Projekcija deset dalekose\u017enih rizika po verovatno\u0107i i ja\u010dini tokom slede\u0107ih deset godina<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

2020. godina je najva\u017enija za dalju implementaciju Pariskog sporazuma<\/span><\/h3>\n

Ova godina je veoma zna\u010dajna u borbi protiv klimatskih promena, jer zemlje koje su pristupile klimatskom sporazumu sklopljenom u Parizu upravo revidiraju svoje petogodi\u0161nje planove za smanjenje emisija gasova sa efektom staklene ba\u0161te. Dosada\u0161nja situacija sa nacionalnim planovima ne daje optimisti\u010dne scenarije.<\/p>\n

Climate Action Tracker, nezavisno telo za nau\u010dnu analizu klimatskih promena koje prati napore 32 zemlje \u010diji je udeo u globalnim emisijama oko 80 odsto, redovno izve\u0161tava javnost o uspe\u0161nosti nacionalne politike u borbi protiv klimatskih promena.<\/p>\n

Ekolo\u0161ki rizici prvi put dominiraju u globalnim procenama rizika<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

CAT upozorava da \u0107e se temperatura, ukoliko zemlje ostanu pri svojim trenutnim namerama za smanjenje emisija \u2013 nacionalno utvr\u0111enim doprinosima (NDCs), do kraja veka pove\u0107ati za 2,8 stepeni Celzijusa, \u0161to je gotovo duplo vi\u0161e od onoga \u0161to je obe\u0107ano Pariskim sporazumom.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"\"
Climate Action Tracker:<\/em> Projekcije globalnog zagrevanja do 2100. godine<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Dakle, imaju\u0107i ove \u010dinjenice u vidu, neophodno je da zemlje ove godine ozbiljno pristupe reviziji navedenih ciljeva i defini\u0161u nove, znatno ambicioznije planove, kako bi se spre\u010dili negativni scenariji koje nosi preterano zagrevanje planete.<\/p>\n

Da li je zaista bitno da li je globalna temperatura 1.5, dva ili tri stepena vi\u0161a<\/span><\/h3>\n

Kada se razmi\u0161lja o potencijalnom globalnom porastu temperature, postoji deo javnosti koji smatra da je to zanemarljiv porast i da \u0107emo se lako prilagoditi pode\u0161avaju\u0107i klima ure\u0111aje. Ovaj antropocentri\u010dni pogled na svet posledica je zanemarivanja \u010dinjenica o slo\u017eenosti i me\u0111usobnih interakcija planetarnih ekosistema. U mnogima od njih i najmanja promena klimatskih uslova mo\u017ee biti kobna.<\/p>\n

Antropocentri\u010dni pogled na svet posledica je zanemarivanja \u010dinjenica o slo\u017eenosti i me\u0111usobnih interakcija planetarnih ekosistema<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Svedoci smo da u svakom momentu dolazi do izumiranja vrsti, te mnogi kredibilni poznavaoci prilika smatraju da se nalazimo usred \u0161estog masovnog izumiranja \u017eivih bi\u0107a.<\/p>\n

S tim u vezi, Me\u0111uvladin panel za klimatske promene (IPCC), sastavljen od vode\u0107ih svetskih klimatskih nau\u010dnika, objavio je 2018. godine izve\u0161taj o uticaju porasta temperature<\/a> na \u017eiva bi\u0107a i okolinu. Ovaj izve\u0161taj je, pored uticaja porasta temperature od jednog i po stepena Celzijusa, utvrdio i mogu\u0107e posledice koje \u0107e se javiti pri dodatnom zagrevanju od pola stepena.<\/p>\n

\"Najve\u0107a
Sumarni pregled uticaja rasta temperature za 1,5 odnosno dva stepena Celzijusa (World Resources Institute)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Iz datog pregleda vidi se da ve\u0107 s\u00e2m porast temperature od 1,5 stepeni Celzijusa nosi veoma te\u0161ke posledice po \u017eivotnu sredinu. Tako\u0111e, dodatnih pola stepena mo\u017ee da izazove i do 10 puta ve\u0107e \u0161tete u ekosistemima.<\/p>\n

Iscrpljenost resursa \u2013 dodatni tro\u0161ak koji stvaramo mi, a pla\u0107a planeta<\/span><\/h3>\n

Pored klimatskih promena, veliki ekolo\u0161ki izazov predstavlja prekomerna upotreba resursa u linearnoj ekonomiji dana\u0161njice (uzmi-napravi-koristi-baci). Trenutno se svi resursi koje planeta mo\u017ee da pru\u017ei u toku jedne godine potro\u0161e ve\u0107 u avgustu. Ovakvim na\u010dinom upotrebe resursa potrebne su nam gotovo dve planete.<\/p>\n

\"\"
Trend iskori\u0161\u0107enosti globalnih prirodnih resursa od 1970. do 2019. godine (Earth Overshoot Day)<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Nije te\u0161ko zaklju\u010diti da ve\u0107 dugo svoju proizvodnju i potro\u0161nju zasnivamo na kreditu koji nam planeta godinama daje. Vreme je da po\u010dnemo da vra\u0107amo dug i da resurse koristimo na mnogo pa\u017eljiviji na\u010din.<\/p>\n

Priroda nas opominje kroz \u0161irenje zaraze<\/span><\/h3>\n

Kona\u010dno, u svetlu \u0161irenja virusa Covid-19, obaveza je ista\u0107i da izme\u0111u naru\u0161avanja \u017eivotne sredine i \u0161irenja zaraznih bolesti postoji direktna veza. Naime, \u010dovek svojim direktnim uticajem na prirodna stani\u0161ta i biodiverzitet, kroz deforestaciju i pro\u0161irivanje obradivih pov\u0161ina, kroz otvaranje novih rudnika i \u0161irenje naselja, dolazi u bliski dodir sa divljim svetom.<\/p>\n

Divlje \u017eivotinje i biljke nosioci su razli\u010ditih patogenih organizama, a prema procenama nau\u010dnika do sada nam je poznato svega 1% ovih virusa. \u010cak vi\u0161e od dve tre\u0107ine zaraza koje su se javile poslednjih godina (pti\u010dji grip, ebola, virus zapadnog Nila, zika, itd) pre\u0161le su sa divljih \u017eivotinja na ljude.<\/p>\n

Ove bolesti uzrok su smrti oko 2 miliona ljudi godi\u0161nje. Kona\u010dno, zbog porasta globalne temperature o\u010dekuje nas i sve intenzivnije topljenje permafrosta, zemlje zamrznute mnogo godina, \u0161to mo\u017ee biti izvor zaraza apsolutno nepoznatih \u010doveku.<\/p>\n

Sve u svemu, pred nama je godina odluke da li \u0107emo i\u0107i putem razvoja u kojem postoji balans izme\u0111u ekonomskih, ekolo\u0161kih i dru\u0161tvenih ciljeva.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Autor: Danko Kalkan, ekspert za zeleno finansiranje i upravljanje u za\u0161titi \u017eivotne sredine\u00a0 Klimatske promene,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":28122,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[484],"tags":[5487,5501,1689,883,766,5480,1019],"class_list":["post-28977","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-u-fokusu","tag-covid-19","tag-danko-kalkan","tag-gasovi-sa-efektom-staklene-baste","tag-globalno-zagrevanje","tag-klimatske-promene","tag-korona-virus","tag-pariski-sporazum","country-svet"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nNajve\u0107a pretnja globalnoj privredi su ekolo\u0161ki rizici<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" 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