{"id":12250,"date":"2017-05-11T10:05:03","date_gmt":"2017-05-11T08:05:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/?p=12250"},"modified":"2018-12-07T15:41:14","modified_gmt":"2018-12-07T14:41:14","slug":"do-2030-u-americi-ce-95-putnickih-vozila-korisititi-elektricni-motor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/balkangreenenergynews.com\/rs\/do-2030-u-americi-ce-95-putnickih-vozila-korisititi-elektricni-motor\/","title":{"rendered":"Do 2030 u Americi \u0107e 95% putni\u010dkih vozila koristiti elektri\u010dni motor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Organizacija RethinkX predvidela je da \u0107e za svega 13 godina 95% putni\u010dkih vozila u SAD koristiti elektri\u010dni motor. Takva prognoza znatno odska\u010de od svih dosada\u0161njih analiza koje su procenjivale da \u0107e prelazni period trajati nekoliko decenija. RethinkX\u00a0okuplja studente, akademsku zajednicu, preduzetnike i ljude iz industrije i podsti\u010de ih da ideje i jednostavna re\u0161enja preto\u010de \u00a0u inovativna re\u0161enja za kompleksne probleme<\/h2>\n

Internet sajt Techxplore, objavio je \u010dlanak<\/a> u kojem se navodi da \u0107e autonomna elektri\u010dna vozila veoma brzo zameniti putni\u010dka kola koja koriste fosilna goriva. Stru\u010dnjaci RethinkX-a ka\u017eu da je njihova analiza zasnovana na prethodnim iskustvima sa naprednim i inovativnim\u00a0tehnologijama, kao \u0161to su smartfoni i internet, koje su u\u0161le u masovnu upotrebu daleko br\u017ee nego \u0161to se o\u010dekivalo.<\/p>\n

Glavni uzrok kratkotrajne tranzicije je ekonomske prirode: procenjuje se da \u0107e prose\u010dna ameri\u010dka porodica u\u0161tedeti 5,600 dolara godi\u0161nje, kori\u0161\u0107enjem sistema prevoz-kao-usluga (TaaS), poznatog i kao mobilnost-kao-usluga (MaaS) . Vozila u li\u010dnom vlasni\u0161tvu \u0107e biti napu\u0161tena, a zameni\u0107e ih uslu\u017eni prevoz po-zahtevu. Novi sistem bi trebalo da uti\u010de i na druge grane privrede: velike u\u0161tede, koje su jednake linearnom pove\u0107anju plata od 10%, dovele bi do nezabele\u017eenog porasta kupovne mo\u0107i i potro\u0161nje.<\/p>\n

U izve\u0161taju se navodi da se potro\u0161a\u010di ve\u0107 navikavaju na TaaS jer su im sve dostupnije razne vrste usluga . Uber, Lyft i Didi ula\u017eu milijarde dolara u nove tehnologije koje \u0107e im pomo\u0107i da premoste psiholo\u0161ke prepreke kao \u0161to su navike, strah od nepoznatih osoba i \u017eelja da se li\u010dno upravlja vozilom. Samo tokom 2016., \u010dak 550.000 stanovnika Njujorka je koristilo TaaS.<\/p>\n

U analizi se navodi da \u0107e klju\u010dna godina biti 2021. kada se o\u010dekuje da TaaS bude ozakonjen. U trenutku kada novi sistem bude dostupan, on \u0107e biti konkurentniji od svih postoje\u0107ih tr\u017ei\u0161nih modela. 10 godina kasnije, o\u010dekuje se da 95% ameri\u010dkih putnika koristi TaaS. Zaklju\u010dak analize je da \u0161to je ve\u0107a u\u0161teda, treba\u0107e manje vremena da novi sistem bude prihva\u0107en.<\/p>\n

Ozbiljna pretnja za naftnu industriju\u00a0<\/span><\/h3>\n

TaaS \u0107e oboriti vrednost naftne industrije jer \u0107e potra\u017enja za fosilnim gorivima dramati\u010dno pasti \u2013 do 2030 iznosi\u0107e svega 70 miliona barela dnevno. Pad cena \u0107e biti katastrofalan za taj sektor, a prve posledice bi mogle da se osete ve\u0107 2021. Prema izve\u0161taju, do 2030, potra\u017enja za naftom \u0107e pasti 90%. To nije u skladu sa dosada\u0161njim prognozama i projekcijama cena, ali su one bazirane na pretpostavci da \u0107e ve\u0107ina vozila biti u li\u010dnom vlasni\u0161tvu.<\/p>\n

Sli\u010dne posledice oseti\u0107e se i u proizvodnji putni\u010dkih vozila. Oko 97 miliona automobila \u0107e biti napu\u0161teno, \u0161to \u0107e dovesti do pove\u0107ane ponude i potra\u017enje koja \u0107e pasti oko 70%. Proizvodnja motora sa unutra\u0161njim sagorevanjem \u0107e potpuno prestati, a vrednost polovnih vozila \u0107e biti ravna nuli, ili \u0107e biti negativna.<\/p>\n

Izve\u0161taj RethinkX-a je upozorenje zakonodavcima da su promene u saobra\u0107ajnim tehnologijama i njihove ekonomske posledice daleko bli\u017ee nego \u0161to se mislilo.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Organizacija RethinkX predvidela je da \u0107e za svega 13 godina 95% putni\u010dkih vozila u SAD…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":12254,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[707],"class_list":["post-12250","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-mobilnost","tag-elektricna-vozila","country-svet"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nDo 2030 u Americi \u0107e 95% putni\u010dkih vozila koristiti elektri\u010dni motor<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"RethinkX, predvi\u0111a da \u0107e za 13 godina 95% putni\u010dkih automobila u SAD \u010diniti elektri\u010dna vozila. 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